Holger Rune vs Daniil Medvedev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Evaluating recent form, Medvedev's second serve performance stands at 42.46% of points won, while Rune's is superior with 48.7%. This performance metric significantly influences match prediction accuracy. Medvedev's return game has seen him win 45.47% of opponents' second serve points, compared to Rune's 43.6%. First serve returns mirror this trend, with Medvedev winning 25.21% and Rune 22.69%, both key indicators for forecasting the favorite in this head-to-head clash.

When analyzing performance under pressure, Medvedev edges out Rune by saving 56.92% of breakpoints against Rune's 56.39%. This stat proves useful for those interested in in-game betting predictions. Over the past year, Medvedev has secured victories in 65.22% of his matches (with a win/loss record of 45/24), narrowly surpassing Rune, who boasts a 64.62% win rate (42/23), offering an overarching view on this matchup prediction.

As for surface preferences, Medvedev excels on hard courts, with a career win percentage of 76% (256/82), while his performance on clay is less robust at 65% (88/48). Rune prefers indoor hard courts with a career win rate of 73% (69/26), while his lowest comes on hard surfaces at 57% (59/44). Analysis of player levels reveals that over the last year, Medvedev and Rune have both concentrated their play around the Masters series, with Medvedev winning 66.67% of these matches (18/9) and Rune achieving a higher success rate of 71.43% (20/8).

In direct head-to-head encounters, Medvedev has triumphed twice over Rune's single victory in their three matches. Medvedev has won four sets to Rune's two, notably securing their last meeting at the BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells, where Medvedev emerged victorious with a 7-5, 6-4 win in the quarterfinals. Despite this, neither player has yet won a deciding set or tiebreak against each other, crucial for outcome predictions should this match extend to such lengths. The average match time between these opponents has been 1 hour, 39 minutes, and 52 seconds.

During the last 12 months, Medvedev has faced competitors with an average ranking of 51.16, while Rune's opponents averaged rank is slightly lower at 60.62. In deciding sets, when facing all opponents, Medvedev's win rate stands at 56%, whereas Rune has achieved a more remarkable 71% success rate. Medvedev exhibits a breakpoint conversion rate of 29.09%, earning him a slight disadvantage to Rune, who has converted 34.92% of similar opportunities.

Given the data and performance statistics, Medvedev's slight edge in head-to-head achievements and superior opponent rankings, coupled with Rune’s recent form in break point conversion and deciding set prowess, make this a closely contested match. However, Medvedev's consistency and past head-to-head record suggest he may have a marginally better chance of securing victory in this matchup.